MSc ESDA Coursework Title Page
Coursework代写 UCL Candidate Code: ZFGM1Module Code: BENV0092Module Title: Energy Analytics in the Built Environment Coursework Title: The
UCL Candidate Code: ZFGM1
Module Code: BENV0092
Module Title: Energy Analytics in the Built Environment Coursework代写
Coursework Title: The effects of dwelling energy efficiency interventions on gas consumption in the UK: A comparison by dwelling characteristics
Module Leader: Despina Manouseli
Date: 07/01/2019
Word Count: 2,997
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The effects of dwelling energy efficiency interventions on gas consumption in the UK: A comparison by dwelling characteristics
1. Introduction
Almost one fourth (434 TWh) of the total final energy in the UK is consumed to meet heating requirements in households (Ofgem, 2016). Additionally, 17% of UK’s CO2 emissions were generated by the residential sector in 2017 (UK BEIS, 2018). With a growing population living in smaller families, how can the goal to reduce CO2 emissions related to domestic heating by 80% in 2050, as committed in the 2008 Climate Change Act, be achieved?
While heat decarbonization technology (e.g. hydrogen, mechanical heat pumps, heating districts) still remains on experimental deployments, and considering UK’s building stock characteristics, energy efficiency is by far the most prioritized strategy to address fuel poverty, optimize energy consumption and reduce CO2 emissions.
Naturally,
each type of energy efficiency interventions has a different impact in energy consumption depending on the dwelling characteristics like property type, age, location, and size. Therefore, it is relevant from a public policy perspective to quantify the effects of energy efficiency measures, distinguishing between the spatial characteristics of the dwelling, in order to optimally target energy efficiency programs.
The following document presents a quantitative analysis of the effects of energy efficiency interventions, done on dwelling fabric and services, over gas consumption on households in the UK. While presenting significant evidence of the effects of cavity wall insulation, loft insulation and boiler replacements, the document also includes a comparative analysis of the effects of the interventions by the following dwelling spatial characteristics: property age, floor size, property type and location (region).
2. Literature review
Energy efficiency in the built environment has been a relevant research area considering the potential impact on reducing GHG emissions. As stated by (Anderson, Wulfhorst and Lang, 2015) the assessment on built environment has been done from an individual building perspective (Doukas, Nychtis and Psarras, 2009; Heo, Choudhary and Augenbroe, 2012; Asadi et al., 2014) or from an urban level (Haines et al., 2009; Heinonen, Kyrö and Junnila, 2011).
Understanding the determinants of energy consumption has therefore also been a relevant research topic, and with the recent development of advanced metering infrastructure the friction of accessing data has been removed (Zhou and Yang, 2016). (Jackson and Druckman, 2008) demonstrate the importance of socio-
economic factors in household energy consumption,
(Guerra-Santin and Itard, 2010; Frederiks, Stenner and Hobman, 2015) highlight the relevance of occupants behavior in domestic energy consumption. In contrast, other authors feature dwelling characteristics as the most relevant driver of energy consumption (Braun, 2010; Aksözen et al., 2015). (Huebner et al., 2015) find that building variables explained 39% of the variability in household energy consumption in the UK.
Energy efficiency interventions have been largely deployed worldwide. (Hamilton et al., 2014) find that in the 2000-2007 period 9.3 million dwellings (40%) in England had an energy efficiency measure installed. While some authors address the barriers to energy efficiency measures adoption (Crosbie and Baker, 2010; Gillingham, Newell and Palmer, 2010; Pelenur and Cruickshank, 2012; Scott, Jones and Webb, 2014), other focus in finding determinants to explain the energy efficiency gap -the difference between actual impact and potential impact- (Brounen, Kok and Quigley, 2012; Van Den Brom, Meijer and Visscher, 2018).
Regarding the assessment of the impact energy efficiency interventions,
one approach consists in modelling the physical equations of the property and calculating the effect of the intervention (Battista et al., 2014; Steemers and Ben, 2014). One the other hand, methodologies that use empirical field evidence to quantify the effect of the energy efficiency interventions is a more widely used approach (Brounen, Kok and Quigley, 2012; Dall’O’, Galante and Pasetti, 2012; Adan and Fuerst, 2016; Fowlie, Greenstone and Wolfram, 2018).
(Hamilton et al., 2013) propose Energy Epidemiology as new approach to end-use energy demand research. As an analogy to the health sciences discipline, energy epidemiology is a research framework based on the use empirical evidence to understand the heterogeneity of factors that lead to certain end-use energy related outcome. Regarding interventional studies, energy epidemiology suggests the need of consider different factors, including dwelling characteristics, in order to assess the effectiveness of certain energy efficiency intervention.
Finally the use of econometrics techniques to measure the effect of energy interventions are widely use. Particularly, to conduct analysis over empirical evidence comparing control and treatment groups. Specifically panel data analysis, that involve both temporal and cross-sectional data variations, have been used to explain energy consumption at a macro level (Lee, 2005; Wang et al., 2011).
3. Data and methodology Data
The data source1 used for the proposed analysis is the National Energy Efficiency Data-Framework (NEED). NEED is a government-administrated2 dataset of
1 Available in: https://www.ukdataservice.ac.uk/
2 Provided by UK BEIS
households in the UK that matches energy consumption data (gas and electricity), with information on energy efficiency measures installed, and data about dwelling characteristics.
The NEED dataset was filtered to observations households that had gas consumption between 3,000 and 50,000 kWh-year and electricity consumption between 100 and 25,000 kWh-year (Adan and Fuerst, 2016). Similarly, households with yearly change in gas consumption larger than 75% in absolute value are considered outliers and ignored from the analysis. Only household with complete information for the whole period of analysis were considered in order to have a balanced data panel. The resulting input dataset considers 22,826 households. Additionally, in order to consider the effect of weather in gas consumption, average yearly temperature data by region is sourced from the Met Office3.
Gas consumption and temperature,
which are the only temporal variables, range from 2005 to 2012. Cross section time-invariant household variables related to dwelling characteristics are: property type, property age, floor size and region. Three different type of energy efficiency interventions and considered4: Cavity wall insulation, loft insulation and boiler replacement. Table 1 summarize the number of household by dwelling characteristics and type of intervention.
Table 1. Dataset household count by intervention type (WI: Wall Insulation, LI: Loft insulation, B: Boiler replacement) and dwelling characteristics.
Region | none | WI | LI | B | WI&LI | WI&B | LI&B | WI&LI&B | total |
all | 10,305 | 2,043 | 2,196 | 3,872 | 1,536 | 930 | 1,185 | 769 | 22,836 |
East of England | 1,207 | 211 | 208 | 433 | 130 | 85 | 111 | 70 | 2,455 |
London | 1,611 | 90 | 205 | 604 | 31 | 44 | 95 | 16 | 2,696 |
Midlands | 1,736 | 363 | 473 | 727 | 298 | 174 | 255 | 155 | 4,181 |
North East | 399 | 188 | 135 | 167 | 152 | 83 | 88 | 77 | 1,289 |
North West | 1,162 | 370 | 339 | 379 | 303 | 159 | 155 | 127 | 2,994 |
South East | 1,840 | 336 | 256 | 707 | 229 | 149 | 148 | 113 | 3,778 |
South West | 890 | 192 | 194 | 339 | 142 | 95 | 98 | 85 | 2,035 |
Wales | 520 | 98 | 142 | 145 | 95 | 23 | 91 | 33 | 1,147 |
Yorksh. and Humber | 940 | 195 | 244 | 371 | 156 | 118 | 144 | 93 | 2,261 |
Dwelling type | none | WI | LI | B | WI&LI | WI&B | LI&B | WI&LI&B | total |
all | 10,305 | 2,043 | 2,196 | 3,872 | 1,536 | 930 | 1,185 | 769 | 22,836 |
Bungalow | 839 | 299 | 294 | 386 | 274 | 178 | 197 | 155 | 2,622 |
Detached | 1,885 | 414 | 351 | 645 | 307 | 158 | 191 | 145 | 4,096 |
End terrace | 1,026 | 184 | 211 | 389 | 141 | 89 | 145 | 66 | 2,251 |
Flat | 1,090 | 111 | 48 | 415 | 21 | 66 | 34 | 12 | 1,797 |
Mid terrace | 2,402 | 238 | 583 | 835 | 186 | 101 | 242 | 93 | 4,680 |
Semi-detached | 3,063 | 797 | 709 | 1,202 | 607 | 338 | 376 | 298 | 7,390 |
3 Available in: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets
4 The combination of interventions is also considered
Year built | none | WI | LI | B | WI&LI | WI&B | LI&B | WI&LI&B | total |
all | 10,305 | 2,043 | 2,196 | 3,872 | 1,536 | 930 | 1,185 | 769 | 22,836 |
before 1930 | 2,943 | 127 | 683 | 1,060 | 95 | 60 | 296 | 47 | 5,311 |
1930-1949 | 1,736 | 358 | 443 | 720 | 278 | 177 | 232 | 162 | 4,106 |
1950-1966 | 1,605 | 676 | 407 | 718 | 500 | 317 | 234 | 224 | 4,681 |
1967-1982 | 1,767 | 578 | 394 | 769 | 478 | 272 | 267 | 249 | 4,774 |
1983-1995 | 1,186 | 204 | 219 | 401 | 157 | 91 | 138 | 78 | 2,474 |
1996 onwards | 1,068 | 100 | 50 | 204 | 28 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 1,490 |
Floor size | none | WI | LI | B | WI&LI | WI&B | LI&B | WI&LI&B | total |
all | 10,305 | 2,043 | 2,196 | 3,872 | 1,536 | 930 | 1,185 | 769 | 22,836 |
1 to 50 | 667 | 77 | 41 | 266 | 26 | 50 | 40 | 11 | 1,178 |
101-150 | 3,482 | 678 | 733 | 1,226 | 544 | 277 | 384 | 250 | 7,574 |
51-100 | 5,305 | 1,184 | 1,247 | 2,075 | 903 | 564 | 683 | 472 | 12,433 |
Over 151 | 851 | 104 | 175 | 305 | 63 | 39 | 78 | 36 | 1,651 |
Methodology
Considering the availability of cross section and time series data, the proposed methodology to assess the effect of energy efficiency interventions in gas consumption is the econometric technique of panel data analysis. The methodology assumes the dependent time series variable can be explained by heterogenic characteristics proper to the individual that may vary in time (Wooldrige, Jeffrey, 2011). Panel data is widely used in different fields to understand the dynamics of change.
The proposed model is explained by the following linear equation:
Where 𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑁 represents each household in the dataset, 𝑡 = 1,2, … , 𝑇 refers to the time period, 𝐺𝐶 is yearly gas consumption in kWh, 𝑇𝐸 is the temperature difference relative to the previous year in degrees Celsius, 𝐼_𝑊𝐼, 𝐼_𝐿𝐼 and 𝐼_𝐵 are dummy variables (0 or 1) that indicate respectively if a cavity wall insulation, a loft insulation or a boiler replacement took place in that specific year. 𝛼, 𝛿, 𝜌, 𝛽1, 𝛽2 and 𝛽3 are the regression coefficients subject to estimation and 𝑒 is the error term.
Is relevant to highlight that the error term in the proposed model variates within individuals and by time.
In the panel data framework this estimation variation is called random effects. As opposed to fixed effects, where the error term is fixed for each individual, random effect modelling is used in this analysis to consider the fact that the dataset is a sample of larger population of households and therefore the interest is to estimate the general variability within all households rather than effect of individual households.
Parameters 𝛽1, 𝛽2 and 𝛽3 are interpreted as the effect in absolute terms (kWh) that cavity wall insulation, loft insulation and boiler replacement respectively have on gas consumption. In the other hand, since 𝑇𝐸 is temperature difference, 𝜌 is interpreted as the effect in absolute terms (kWh) that a change of one degree Celsius of the average yearly temperature has on gas consumption.
With the model defined by the previous equation,
the methodology to include dwelling characteristics in the analysis is the comparison of parameters estimates (𝛼, 𝛿, 𝜌, 𝛽1, 𝛽2 and 𝛽3) between each group. In that sense, the data set is filtered by every possible instance of each dwelling characteristic (e.g. properties in London) and sequentially the panel data parameters estimates are calculated and compared. As noted in table 1, the four dwelling features derive in 25 different dwelling characteristics, therefore 25 different models are estimated. With the parameter estimation for each group, the results are compared and analyzed.
The parameter estimation technique of the panel data with random effects is generalized least squares. The computational implementation is done in R with the plm package (Croissant and Millo, 2008).
4. Analysis and results
Figure 1 presents the difference in gas consumption by all the possible combinations of interventions considered. As expected, it results evident that the average gas consumption of the group of dwellings without any interventions is the highest. In the other hand, there is no clear assessment on which of the intervention is most effective.
Figure 1. Average household gas consumption by type of intervention (WI: Wall Insulation, LI: Loft insulation, B: Boiler replacement).
To answer this,
the proposed model estimation was conducted with all the dwellings in the dataset, the results are summarized in Table 2. With this model, 82% of the variance in gas consumption is explained (r-squared) and all the estimates are statistically significant at a 95% confidence level.
Table 2. Model estimation results with all the data
Estimate | Std. Error | t-value | p-value | |
α | 1,320 | 20.69 | 63.8 | 0 |
δ | 0.88 | 0.001 | 851.6 | 0 |
ρ | -301 | 9.10 | -33.1 | 7.10E-240 |
β1 (WI) | -1,094 | 60.68 | -18.0 | 1.60E-72 |
β2 (LI) | -390 | 50.83 | -7.7 | 1.80E-14 |
β3 (B) -1,123 44.04 -25.5 3.30E-143
On average, considering all the sample the most effective intervention is boiler replacement with an average savings of 1,123 kWh-year, followed by wall insulation (1,094 kWh-year) and loft insulation (390 kWh-year).Coursework代写
Nonetheless, in order to able to conclude this, it is necessary for the group of dwellings to have similar conditions in order to have comparable control and intervention groups. Therefore, the following subsections present the results of the model estimation for each possible dwelling characteristic.
Results by region
In order to exclude the effects of weather conditions from affecting the results and to make the groups comparable, is relevant to conduct the analysis at a regional level. Figure 2 presents the average gas consumption by region comparing between households with interventions and without. The largest average consumption is found in the London region (17,961 kWh-year), while the lowest is present in the South West region (15,693 kWh-year).Coursework代写
Figure 2. Average gas consumption by region compared by intervention group (0: no intervention, 1: any intervention)
The results of the model estimation for each region are summarized in Table 3. The average calculated r-squared is 0.82.
Table 3. Model estimation results by region
α δ β1 (WI) β2 (LI) β3 (B) ρ (temp) R2
all | 1,320 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,094 (*) | -390 (*) | -1,123 (*) | -301 (*) | 0.82 |
East of England | 1,221 (*) | 0.89 (*) | -1,208 (*) | -256 (o) | -1,086 (*) | -333 (*) | 0.83 |
London | 1,299 (*) | 0.89 (*) | -1,148 (*) | -234 (o) | -1,139 (*) | -373 (*) | 0.83 |
Midlands | 1,463 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -1,128 (*) | -379 (*) | -1,060 (*) | -222 (*) | 0.81 |
North East | 1,515 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -1,076 (*) | -403 (*) | -1,250 (*) | -330 (*) | 0.79 |
North West | 1,296 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,017 (*) | -426 (*) | -1,088 (*) | -341 (*) | 0.81 |
South East | 1,255 (*) | 0.89 (*) | -1,112 (*) | -441 (*) | -1,167 (*) | -327 (*) | 0.83 |
South West | 1,283 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -869 (*) | -463 (*) | -1,177 (*) | -360 (*) | 0.82 |
Wales | 1,345 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -835 (*) | -220 (o) | -1,359 (*) | -257 (*) | 0.80 |
Yorksh. and Humber | 1,394 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,191 (*) | -429 (*) | -1,039 (*) | -207 (*) | 0.81 |
(*): coefficient significant at a 95% confidence level, (o): coefficient not significant at a 95% confidence level
Firstly, Coursework代写
from the estimation of ρ, it can be concluded that the region most sensible to changes in temperature is London. In London a 1 degree Celsius increase in temperature results on average in savings of 373 kWh-year in gas consumption.
Regarding the intervention effect, wall insulation proves to be more effective in the East of England with average savings of 1,209 kWh-year. In the other hand, loft insulation is more effective in the South West, saving 463 kWh-year on average. Finally boiler replacement is more effective energy efficiency intervention overall, saving 1,359 kWh-year in Wales.
The loft insulation coefficient was not significant at a 95% confidence in Wales, East of England and London. This can be explained by the small effect that this intervention has in this regions.
Results by property type Coursework代写
To analyse the effect of building technique in the intervention effectiveness Figure 3 presents the average gas consumption by property type comparing between households with interventions and without. As expected, the largest average consumption is found in the detached houses (22,137 kWh-year), while the lowest is present in flats (11,157 kWh-year).
Figure 3. Average gas consumption by property type compared by intervention group (0: no intervention, 1: any intervention)
The results of the model estimation for each region are summarized in Table 4. The average calculated r-squared is 0.80.
Table 4. Model estimation results by property type
α | δ | β1 (WI) | β2 (LI) | β3 (B) | ρ (temp) | R2 | |
all | 1,320 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,094 (*) | -390 (*) | -1,123 (*) | -301 (*) | 0.82 |
Bungalow | 1,379 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -600 (*) | -582 (*) | -1,204 (*) | -263 (*) | 0.81 |
Detached | 1,894 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,654 (*) | -651 (*) | -1,049 (*) | -435 (*) | 0.80 |
End terrace | 1,524 (*) | 0.86 (*) | -1,217 (*) | -363 (*) | -1,063 (*) | -226 (*) | 0.79 |
Flat | 1,040 (*) | 0.86 (*) | -654 (*) | -613 (*) | -1,097 (*) | -144 (*) | 0.81 |
Mid terrace | 1,671 (*) | 0.84 (*) | -1,016 (*) | -275 (*) | -943 (*) | -228 (*) | 0.76 |
Semi detached | 1,588 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -1,175 (*) | -311 (*) | -1,231 (*) | -337 (*) | 0.80 |
(*): coefficient significant at a 95% confidence level, (o): coefficient not significant at a 95% confidence level
Wall insulation proves to be more effective in detached dwellings with average savings of 1,654 kWh-year, same for loft insulation with average saving 651 kWh- year on average. Finally boiler replacement is more effective in semidetached dwellings, saving 1,231 kWh-year. Regarding temperature sensibility, it can be concluded that property type most sensible to weather changes is detached dwelling with an average impact 435kWh for each 1 degree Celsius decrease in average temperature.Coursework代写
Even though all the coefficients estimates are significant is important to review the significance of loft insulation in flats. As exposed in Table 1, 103 loft insulation where done in flats (corresponding to top floor flats) which is not a large sample compared to the control group.
By property age
Figure 4 presents the average gas consumption by each property age range, comparing between households with interventions and without. The largest average consumption is found in the houses built between 1930 and 1949 (18,900 kWh-year),while the lowest is present in the houses built between 1983 and 1995 (15,598 kWh- year).Coursework代写
Figure 4. Average gas consumption by property age compared by intervention group (0: no intervention, 1: any intervention)
The results of the model estimation for each property age band are summarized in Table 5. The average calculated r-squared is 0.83.
Table 5. Model estimation results by property age
α | δ | β1 (WI) | β2 (LI) | β3 (B) | ρ (temp) | R2 | |||
all | 1,320 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,094 (*) | -390 (*) | -1,123 (*) | -301 (*) | 0.82 | ||
Before 1930 | 900 (*) | 0.91 (*) | -911 (*) | -138 (o) | -639 (*) | -214 (*) | 0.85 | ||
1930 to 1949 | 1,572 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -1,149 (*) | -347 (*) | -1,285 (*) | -373 (*) | 0.80 | ||
1950 to 1966 | 1,377 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -1,082 (*) | -402 (*) | -1,229 (*) | -292 (*) | 0.80 | ||
1967 to 1982 | 1,283 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -975 (*) | -507 (*) | -1,225 (*) | -235 (*) | 0.82 | ||
1983 to 1995 | 907 (*) | 0.9 (*) | -1,014 (*) | -386 (*) | -930 (*) | -310 (*) | 0.87 | ||
1996 onwards | 900 (*) | 0.91 (*) | -911 (*) | -138 (o) | -639 (*) | -214 (*) | 0.85 |
(*): coefficient significant at a 95% confidence level, (o): coefficient not significant at a 95% confidence level
Wall insulation proves to be more effective in dwellings built between 1930 and 1949 with average savings of 1,149 kWh-year. With loft insulation the most effective group is dwellings built between 1967 and 1982 with average saving of 651 kWh-year. Finally boiler replacement is more effective in dwellings built between 1930 and 1949, saving 1,229 kWh-year on average. With this results is important to highlight that the effects of interventions are more significant in older dwellings, as expected. Dwellings built between 1930 and 1949 are the most sensible to temperature.
The model coefficient for loft insulation in dwellings built before 1930, and after 1996 is statistically non-significant at a 95% confidence level. This can be explained by the small average affect that these interventions have in this dwellings.
By floor size Coursework代写
Finally, in order to exclude the effects of larger consumption due to larger heating space form the results, is relevant to conduct the analysis by property size. Figure 5
presents the average gas consumption by property size band comparing between households with interventions and without. As expected, the largest average consumption is found in dwellings with floor area larger than 151 sqm (26,614 kWh- year), while the lowest is present in the smallest dwellings (10,362 kWh-year).
Figure 5. Average gas consumption by property size compared by intervention group (0: no intervention, 1: any intervention)
The results of the model estimation for each region are summarized in Table 6. The average calculated r-squared is 0.78.Coursework代写
Table 6. Model estimation results by property size
α | δ | β1 (WI) | β2 (LI) | β3 (B) | ρ (temp) | R2 | |||
all | 1,320 (*) | 0.88 (*) | -1,094 (*) | -390 (*) | -1,123 (*) | -301 (*) | 0.82 | ||
1 to 50 | 821 (*) | 0.87 (*) | -550 (o) | -227 (o) | -1,089 (*) | -113 (*) | 0.82 | ||
51 to 100 | 1,712 (*) | 0.84 (*) | -801 (*) | -290 (*) | -1,060 (*) | -229 (*) | 0.76 | ||
101 to 150 | 2,234 (*) | 0.85 (*) | -1,450 (*) | -631 (*) | -1,225 (*) | -375 (*) | 0.76 | ||
Over 151 | 2,814 (*) | 0.86 (*) | -1,413 (*) | -390 (o) | -776 (*) | -548 (*) | 0.76 |
(*): coefficient significant at a 95% confidence level, (o): coefficient not significant at a 95% confidence level
All of three interventions analyzed prove to be more effective in dwellings with floor area between 101 and 150 sqm, saving 1,450 kWh-year, 631 kWh-year, 1,225 kWh- year for wall insulation, loft insulation and boiler replacement respectively. Regarding temperature sensibility, it can be concluded that large dwellings are the most sensible to weather changes with an average impact 548 kWh-year per 1 degree Celsius decrease in average temperature.Coursework代写
Similar to previous groups, due to the small average effect, loft insulation effect is non-significant in dwellings up to 50 sqm and larger than 151sqm.
5. Discussion and conclusions
Heat decarbonization remains a big challenge for the UK’s energy system. While the technological low carbon alternatives for gas are under development, the large
potential in the application of energy efficiency measures for reducing heat demand, highlights the relevance to prioritize energy efficiency interventions when addressing heat decarbonization and fuel poverty. Therefore, from a public policy perspective is relevant to quantify the effects of energy efficiency measures, while distinguishing policy between the spatial characteristics of the dwelling.
To summarize the results of this analysis,Coursework代写
Table 7 presents the impact of energy efficiency interventions relative to the average consumption by each group of dwellings. This table can be relevant input for policy makers when addressing energy efficiency programs.
Table 7. Energy efficiency intervention impact relative to 2012 gas consumption.
Gas cons. WI LI B Gas cons. WI LI B
all 14,588 -7.5% -2.7% -7.7% all 14,588 -7.5% -2.7% -7.7%
East of Eng. | 14,308 | -8.4% | -7.6% | Bungalow | 14,163 | -4.2% | -4.1% | -8.5% | ||
London | 15,495 | -7.4% | -7.3% | Detached | 19,312 | -8.6% | -3.4% | -5.4% | ||
Midlands | 14,492 | -7.8% | -2.6% | -7.3% | End terrace | 13,489 | -9.0% | -2.7% | -7.9% | |
North East | 14,961 | -7.2% | -2.7% | -8.4% | Flat | 9,271 | -7.1% | -6.6% | -11.8% | |
North West | 14,533 | -7.0% | -2.9% | -7.5% | Mid terrace | 12,613 | -8.1% | -2.2% | -7.5% | |
South East | 15,028 | -7.4% | -2.9% | -7.8% | Semi-det. | 15,000 | -7.8% | -2.1% | -8.2% | |
South West | 13,211 | -6.6% | -3.5% | -8.9% | ||||||
Wales | 13,577 | -6.2% | -10.0% | |||||||
Yorksh. & Hum. | 14,867 | -8.0% | -2.9% | -7.0% |
Gas cons. WI LI B Gas cons. WI LI B Coursework代写
all 14,588 -7.5% -2.7% -7.7% all 14,588 -7.5% -2.7% -7.7%
bef. 1930 | 15,873 | -5.7% | -4.0% | 1 to 50 | 8,589 | -12.7% | ||||
1930-1949 | 15,989 | -7.2% | -2.2% | -8.0% | 101-150 | 17,548 | -4.6% | -1.7% | -6.0% | |
1950-1966 | 13,744 | -7.9% | -2.9% | -8.9% | 51-100 | 12,140 | -11.9% | -5.2% | -10.1% | |
1967-1982 | 13,516 | -7.2% | -3.8% | -9.1% | Over 151 | 23,733 | -6.0% | -3.3% | ||
1983-1995 | 13,485 | -7.5% | -2.9% | -6.9% | ||||||
1996 onw. | 14,066 | -6.5% | -4.5% |
Non-siginificant estimates at a 95% confidence level are excluded from the results.
It is concluded that wall insulation is more effective on end terrace dwellings on the East of England, built between 1950 and 1966 with a floor size between 51 and100 sqm, saving on average 9.3% on gas consumption. Loft insulation has the largest impact on bungalows on the Southwest built between 1967 and 1982 with a floor area between 51 and 100 sqm, saving on average 4.1% on gas consumption. Finally, boiler replacement is the most effective when applied to flats in Wales built between 1967 and 1982 with a floor area smaller than 50sqm, saving on average 10.9% on gas consumption.Coursework代写
In order to make this analysis a starting point for research is imporantat to highlight the main limitations of the analysis and address key points for future work:
- Each model considered subsets by one dwelling characteristics at the time, therefore the sample within the group is not necessarilycomparable regarding the other dwelling
- The compound effect of multiple interventions done in the same dwelling is not consider. This is captured in the model as the linear sum of coefficients which differs from reality.
- As future work, it is interesting to conduct a cost benefit analysis of each intervention by type of household and by floor area, in order to find the most cost effective
6. Bibliography Coursework代写
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